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Saturday, October 25, 2025

THE STREAMING GOLD RUSH: INDIA’S OTT INDUSTRY ENTERS A MONETISATION SUPERCYCLE

India’s Over-the-Top (OTT) market is no longer just a story of viewership expansion — it is now a high-stakes revenue engine reshaping the economics of media in Asia. The industry, valued at roughly ₹39,940 crore in 2024, is projected to balloon into a ₹2,41,430 crore commercial powerhouse by 2033 — signalling not merely scale, but profitability velocity. A near 20% CAGR at this level outpaces most global media markets, validating OTT as the next dominant revenue pillar of India’s media economy. Digital media as a whole is already on track to hit ₹2,80,480 crore in 2025, with OTT sitting at the centre of where the ad money, subscription money and bundling money are now converging. What was a user-acquisition race has formally transitioned into a revenue-optimisation race.

India’s OTT audience crossed 601.2 million monthly active users in mid-2025, but the more important shift is behavioural: growth has cooled from 14% to ~10% — signalling the end of the mass-migration phase and the beginning of user-value extraction. Platforms are now competing not for eyeballs, but for ARPU (average revenue per user), watch-time monetisation, subscription renewal stickiness and bundled lifetime value. CTV viewership — 129.2 million active users in 35–40 million homes — is particularly explosive because CTV commands TV-level ad rates, pushing premium CPMs and drawing brand-safe advertisers fleeing the unpredictability of social media. India’s OTT is now a two-revenue device market: mobile drives volume, CTV drives yield.

The JioHotstar merger in 2025 triggered the single most decisive monetisation reshuffle in Indian streaming history. With ~25% of the paid subscription market and 503 million monthly active users in March 2025, the entity has created a structural monopoly over India’s highest-value revenue segment — live sports. IPL isn’t mere content; it is now a financial infrastructure. It guarantees retention, drives annual subscriptions over monthly churn, attracts the richest advertisers and justifies premium ad slots at Super Bowl-like pricing. Amazon Prime Video, holding 23% share, wins not through show-based loyalty but through embedded value economics — building streaming into logistics, commerce and payment retention loops. Netflix, now 19%, is shifting upward in ARPU through aggressive price-rationalised subscription architecture, while Apple TV+ quietly scales one of the highest-revenue cohorts per user in India. The story is no longer about market share — it is about revenue per household.

India’s OTT monetisation unlock is hyper-local content strategy — not for cultural impact alone, but because regional users monetise better when served in-language ecosystems. Subscription renewal rates are higher, watch-time is deeper, and advertiser-relevance precision increases dramatically. Tamil, Telugu, Malayalam, Bengali and Marathi OTT clusters now determine where the next ₹50,000 crore of revenue will come from — not metros. Regional originals are not content bets; they are cash-flow stabilisers with defensible moat economics. This is why government policy is actively supporting India as a content-export economy — the AVGC-XR sector alone is compounding at 30% annually and is already a future foreign exchange contributor, not just a domestic entertainment service.

The single most critical structural shift is the rise of Hybrid Monetisation — AVOD + SVOD + Bundled Access + Commerce-linked value. In 2025 there are 148.2 million paying OTT subscriptions — but over 450 million users generating ad revenue, not subscription revenue. AVOD is no longer the “cheap India version”; it is the primary monetisation backbone of the Indian OTT economy. Even global platforms like Prime Video are shifting to ad-tiered models to unlock latent revenue in India’s massively price-sensitive but highly time-rich population. Digital ad revenue for streaming alone is compounding at 15.6% CAGR — likely to overtake TV ad revenue within 36 months. Telecom bundling — where OTT access is folded invisibly into a ₹399 plan — is now the most efficient ARPU-expansion tool because it scales without visible price friction.

The next revenue leap will come from AI-powered, personalised ad versioning, algorithmic localisation, multi-language synthetic dubbing, and CTV-first ad innovation — not merely content. 5G is not just an infrastructure milestone — it is a revenue multiplier, enabling OTTs to charge premium pricing for UHD live sports, concerts, gaming and interactive entertainment. But profitability is now the battleground. Content spend is being rationalised with ruthless ROI discipline. Piracy, DRM, and content regulation — all now treated as P&L liabilities rather than social headaches.

India’s OTT market has officially crossed from user-land-grab to revenue-per-minute optimisation. The winners of this streaming era will not be judged by how many people they reach — but by how much money they extract, retain and multiply per user, per household, per minute. India is not just streaming more — it is now industrialising streaming economics.

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